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ADDITIONAL INSIGHT
Policy
Venezuela in the Headlines (Part 3): Beyond Trump’s Term, How Far Can Venezuelan Oil Really Go?
February 16, 2026
In Part 1 of this series, we traced how Venezuela fell from a 3+ million b/d powerhouse to today’s diminished state, and in Part 2 we assessed what is realistically achievable over the next three years in terms of production recovery, trade flows, and sanctions‑driven constraints. This third and final article looks beyond Trump’s term...
Policy
Stranded: West Coast Fuel Supply & Strategic Vulnerability
February 12, 2026
West Coast fuel supply is becoming more fragile just as Indo-Pacific geopolitical risks are rising, turning what might look like a regional market issue into a strategic vulnerability for commercial, governmental, and military fuel users alike. Stillwater Associates was recently asked to brief the Navy’s Energy Forum about this structural fragility and why sophisticated planning...
Policy
Mind the Gap: Transportation Emissions vs. California’s 2022 Scoping Plan Pathway
February 11, 2026
The State of California has a unique air emissions regulatory history that began in 1947 with the California Air Pollution Control Act, which authorized the creation of county Air Pollution Control Districts (APCDs). This followed the first recognized episodes of smog in Los Angeles in the summer of 1943. From that legislation and others that followed, APCDs and later the California Air Resources Board (CARB) began regulating emissions from stationary sources, fuels, and vehicles. In 1966, California established the first tailpipe emissions standards in the nation. On the federal level, the landmark 1970...
Stillwater Spotlight
Stillwater Spotlight: John Askounis
February 9, 2026
Stillwater Associates is pleased to welcome John Askounis to our team! John brings over four decades of distinguished experience in the downstream oil sector. His extensive background in refining economics, fuels strategy, and regulatory affairs positions him as a valuable resource for clients navigating today’s complex energy landscape. With a career spanning more than 40...
Economics
Venezuela in the Headlines (Part 2): How Much Venezuelan Oil Can Really Return in the Short Term?
January 27, 2026
Trump’s seizure of President Nicolás Maduro has sparked expectations of a rapid revival in Venezuelan oil output. Some analysts are calling this a new “remote‑control” era of Venezuelan governance, where Washington’s leverage over licenses and sanctions, rather than Caracas’ policy ambitions, sets the pace of any oil recovery. In our first article in this three‑part...
Policy
Sunrise Approaches for the New Mexico CTFP
January 26, 2026
On January 22, 2026, the New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board (EIB) unanimously adopted regulations to implement the Clean Transportation Fuels Program effective April 1, 2026. The final regulations, as adopted, have not yet been published – that will occur after the EIB meets on February 12 to adopt the final statement of reasons (FSOR) –...
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