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ADDITIONAL INSIGHT
News
Rebalancing Refinery Jet Production for Covid-19 – How Low Can You Go?
April 15, 2020
For U.S. refiners, profitability is tightly linked to production of the three major “light” petroleum fuel products – gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Individual refineries are typically configured to optimize the yield of these three products with the most economical crudes available in their region and demand in accessible markets. Relative demand for the three...
Policy
COVID-19 and the LCFS: Ain’t No Sunshine
April 6, 2020
Note: The title of today’s analysis pays tribute to onetime Navy aircraft mechanic and three-time Grammy Award winner Bill Withers who died March 30th. As AP reporter Mark Kennedy observed, Withers’ “death comes as the public has drawn inspiration from his music during the coronavirus pandemic, with health care workers, choirs, artists and more posting their own...
Policy
Oh, What a Month! What does COVID-19 mean for the LCFS Credit Bank and Prices?
March 23, 2020
A month ago, WTI crude oil price closed at $52.10 per barrel, the Dow Jones closed at 29,232 and the S&P at 3,370. Yesterday, these values were $25.22, 20,087 and 2,409 respectively. Clearly, the past month has been unprecedented for both the crude oil and financial markets. Socially, almost everyone in the U.S. has had...
Policy
Stationary Source Cap & Trade Benchmark Cost is Way Down due to Increased Allowances
March 11, 2020
Stillwater publishes our proprietary daily benchmark price to demonstrate the cost of California’s Stationary Source Cap & Trade (SSC&T) program to refiners. Our readers may have observed that the benchmark SSC&T cost has recently dropped significantly, which begs the question: Why? On December 6, 2019, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) released its 2020 Cap...
News
COVID-19’s Economic Impacts on the LNG Market
March 11, 2020
By John Wolff Worldwide natural gas markets are unsettled by the current and plausible impacts of the COVID-19 virus. There has been a widely reported reduction in Chinese crude oil and products demand as auto travel, commercial deliveries, and airline flights have been reduced. The likely duration of the economic impacts is not clearly understood...
Policy
How the New Coronavirus and Crude Price War Could Dampen the RINs Markets and Boost the LCFS Credit Bank
March 10, 2020
The last week of February marked the biggest drop in the stock market since the financial crisis of 2008. The S&P index was down 11.5% on the week ending February 28th. The Dow Jones was down 12.4% over the same week. This compares to the week ending October 10, 2008 when the S&P index and...
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