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ADDITIONAL INSIGHT
Policy
Venezuela in the Headlines Again: The Long Arc of Its Oil Industry Before Today’s Crisis
January 14, 2026
Venezuela’s oil industry has swung from global powerhouse to cautionary tale over the past half‑century, and that history is essential context for understanding what President Trump’s removal of President Nicolás Maduro could mean for current and future markets. This first article in Stillwater Associates’ three‑part series uses historical perspective to ground the current headlines, with two follow‑up pieces examining short‑term...
Article
Stillwater Associates 2025: A Year of Growth and Impact
January 12, 2026
Phew! What a year. From welcoming new experts to deepening long-term client relationships and expanding our suite of “off-the-shelf” market tools, 2025 was a banner year for Stillwater Associates. Together with our clients, we tackled complex policy questions, navigated fast-moving carbon markets, and brought thoughtful guidance to the energy transition across the transportation fuels value chain....
Policy
From 2025 Uncertainty to 2026 Opportunities: Stillwater’s Perspective on North American Clean Fuel Programs
January 8, 2026
The Trump 2.0 administration took office in 2025 with an agenda to roll back renewable energy mandates, promote fossil fuels, relax environmental regulations and support the burgeoning AI industry. These objectives introduced significant federal policy uncertainty, prompting states to revise their strategies either to protect environmental and energy programs or to align with the administration’s...
Policy
Inside DEQ’s first CFP listening session of the 2026-2027 Rulemaking
December 18, 2025
On November 20, 2025, Governor Tina Kotek issued Executive Order 2529 directing state agencies to strengthen Oregon’s clean energy policies, including the Clean Fuels Program (CFP). In response, on December 17th the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) held a CFP listening session to explain the new direction, outline the scope and timeline for the upcoming rulemaking, and take...
Stillwater Spotlight
Stillwater Spotlight: Paul Machiele
November 24, 2025
This month, we’re thrilled to introduce Paul Machiele, one of Stillwater’s newest team members, whose prior experience at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) brings invaluable perspective to our work related to transportation fuels policy. During his 39-year career at EPA, much of it spent leading regulatory programs for transportation fuels, Paul developed long-standing relationships...
Economics
Low Crude, High Stakes: Investment in a $54 Oil World
November 19, 2025
The latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) Short Term Energy Forecast (STEO) projects crude oil prices settling in the $54 per barrel range in the first quarter of 2026 signaling a pivotal shift for the energy sector. This price level, while moderate compared to some historical downturns, presents complex challenges and opportunities for crude producers, refiners, renewable fuel producers, and infrastructure investors alike. Understanding these dynamics is critical for...
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